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Results

Every parlay Polycord publishes, settled and shown here, wins and losses alike, since Oct 12. Flat 1u per parlay.

Live
Win rate
19%
18 of 93 parlays won
Profit
−24.6u
ROI −26% · 1u each
Pick hit rate
56%
187 of 336 individual legs
Biggest win
$177
from a $10 stake

Profit curve

Running total in units, one dot per settled parlay.

−24.6u93 parlays · 1u each
Oct 12Oct 21

Wins and losses per day

Settled parlays by day, last 14 days (UTC).

8101214161820
Won Lost

By parlay type

Real win rate against the win rate the odds implied.

  • Parlay of the Day3 of 11 · −3.1u
    Won 27%Odds priced in 38%
  • Safe Legs8 of 22 · −2.8u
    Won 36%Odds priced in 45%
  • Value Picks2 of 21 · +1.6u
    Won 10%Odds priced in 13%
  • Cross-Category5 of 19 · −0.4u
    Won 26%Odds priced in 22%
  • Moonshot0 of 20 · −20u
    Won 0%Odds priced in 1%

The bar is the real win rate; the line is the rate the odds implied.

Do prices tell the truth?

How often a pick wins, grouped by the Polymarket price it was picked at.

19%
<35¢
n=43
49%
35–50¢
n=77
57%
50–65¢
n=80
67%
65–80¢
n=123
92%
80¢+
n=13
Actually won Price implied

History

Pick a day, filter by outcome or type, and tap any parlay to open every leg.

93 parlays · tap one to see every leg

Today

2 won · 12 lost
    • Athletic Club
      Levante UD vs. Athletic Club
      2.25x
    • Al Diraiyah Saudi Club
      Al Diraiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club
      1.67x
    • Oilers
      Wild vs. Oilers
      1.77x
    • Jazz
      Jazz vs. Grizzlies
      2.06x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Deportivo Toluca FC
      Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana
      1.40x
    • El Ahly SC
      El Ahly SC vs. El Qanah Club
      1.32x
    • Real Madrid CF
      Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig
      1.26x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Sporting CP
      Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz
      1.26x
    • James Madison
      James Madison vs. Appalachian State
      1.27x
    • FC Internazionale Milano
      FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk
      1.23x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • No · Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?
      Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
      1.67x
    • 49ers
      Commanders vs. 49ers
      1.27x
    • Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?
      Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?
      1.40x
    • Yes · Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 19?
      Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 19?
      1.29x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • AS Roma
      AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava
      1.16x
    • Real Madrid CF
      Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig
      1.27x
    Payout$10 → $14.70
    Safe Legs: 36% win rate · −2.8u · 30d
    UMA Oracle · Polygon

    On-chain proof · Parlay #84

    Every leg is a Polymarket market resolved by the UMA oracle on the Conditional Tokens contract on Polygon. A winning pick pays out $1.00 per share. This check reads the contract straight from your browser — nothing goes through Polycord's servers.

    Verify it yourself
    1. Open the Conditional Tokens contract on Polygonscan (0x4D97DCd97eC945f40cF65F87097ACe5EA0476045), Read Contract tab.
    2. payoutDenominator(conditionId) returns 1 once the market has resolved.
    3. payoutNumerators(conditionId, index) returns 1 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing one. Each pick's index is shown under its leg.
    Details
    • Hapoel Tel Aviv
      Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Virtus Bologna
      1.32x
    • Rockets
      Mavericks vs. Rockets
      1.32x
    • Real Madrid CF
      Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig
      1.26x
    • Sanfrecce Hiroshima
      V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima
      1.42x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Real Betis Balompié
      Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
      1.68x
    • Trail Blazers
      Suns vs. Trail Blazers
      1.74x
    • Zweigen Kanazawa
      Kamatamare Sanuki vs. Zweigen Kanazawa
      1.74x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Yes · Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
      Ethereum above ___ on October 21?
      1.83x
    • Chiefs
      Chargers vs. Chiefs
      1.27x
    • No · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
      Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
      1.36x
    Payout$10 → $31.80
    Cross-Category: 26% win rate · ROI −2% · 30d
    UMA Oracle · Polygon

    On-chain proof · Parlay #71

    Every leg is a Polymarket market resolved by the UMA oracle on the Conditional Tokens contract on Polygon. A winning pick pays out $1.00 per share. This check reads the contract straight from your browser — nothing goes through Polycord's servers.

    • Yes · Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
      Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 21?
      Resolution txMarketRaw data
    • Chiefs
      Chargers vs. Chiefs
      Resolution txMarketRaw data
    • No · Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
      Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
      Resolution txMarketRaw data
    Verify it yourself
    1. Open the Conditional Tokens contract on Polygonscan (0x4D97DCd97eC945f40cF65F87097ACe5EA0476045), Read Contract tab.
    2. payoutDenominator(conditionId) returns 1 once the market has resolved.
    3. payoutNumerators(conditionId, index) returns 1 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing one. Each pick's index is shown under its leg.
    Details
    • Florida International
      Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International
      1.29x
    • Real Madrid CF
      Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig
      1.27x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Lightning
      Lightning vs. Golden Knights
      2.06x
    • Avalanche
      Avalanche vs. Devils
      1.98x
    • Wild
      Wild vs. Oilers
      2.30x
    ResultMissed 2 legs
    Details
    • Liverpool FC
      Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF
      1.55x
    • Canadiens
      Sharks vs. Canadiens
      1.53x
    • Hurricanes
      Hurricanes vs. Canucks
      1.36x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Saints
      Saints vs. Giants
      1.98x
    • Yes · Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
      Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner
      1.69x
    • No · Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?
      Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?
      1.46x
    • Yes · Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 20?
      Ethereum above ___ on October 20?
      1.47x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • FK Bodø/Glimt
      SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
      4.65x
    • Ducks
      Ducks vs. Islanders
      2.41x
    • Maple Leafs
      Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jackets
      2.41x
    • VfB Stuttgart
      VfB Stuttgart vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
      3.51x
    • Hawks
      Hawks vs. Magic
      2.25x
    ResultMissed 3 legs
    Details
    • Devils
      Avalanche vs. Devils
      2.02x
    • Middle Tennessee
      Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International
      4.44x
    • Jets
      Jets vs. Blues
      2.35x
    • Hawks
      Hawks vs. Magic
      2.25x
    • Club León FC
      Tigres de la UANL vs. Club León FC
      4.08x
    • FC Barcelona
      Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona
      2.53x
    ResultMissed 2 legs
    Details

Yesterday

1 won · 5 lost
    • No · Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 19 2026?
      What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 19 2026?
      1.48x
    • SSC Napoli
      SSC Napoli vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
      1.80x
    • Yes · Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
      Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
      1.48x
    • No · Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on October 20?
      What price will Ethereum hit on October 20?
      1.71x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • FK Kharkiv
      FK Kharkiv vs. FK Livyi Bereh
      1.53x
    • Sharks
      Sharks vs. Maple Leafs
      2.30x
    • FC Porto
      FC Porto vs. PSV
      1.68x
    • SC Corinthians Paulista
      SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória
      1.68x
    ResultMissed 3 legs
    Details
    • 49ers
      Commanders vs. 49ers
      1.27x
    • Knicks
      76ers vs. Knicks
      1.60x
    • Avalanche
      Avalanche vs. Flyers
      1.48x
    ResultMissed 2 legs
    Details
    • Bursaspor
      Bursaspor vs. Pendikspor
      1.44x
    • Avalanche
      Avalanche vs. Flyers
      1.48x
    • 49ers
      Commanders vs. 49ers
      1.27x
    • AS Roma
      AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava
      1.20x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • Patriots
      Jets vs. Patriots
      1.32x
    • 49ers
      Commanders vs. 49ers
      1.27x
    • Brighton & Hove Albion FC
      Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC
      1.53x
    Payout$10 → $25.80
    Parlay of the Day: 27% win rate · −3.1u · 30d
    UMA Oracle · Polygon

    On-chain proof · Parlay #65

    Every leg is a Polymarket market resolved by the UMA oracle on the Conditional Tokens contract on Polygon. A winning pick pays out $1.00 per share. This check reads the contract straight from your browser — nothing goes through Polycord's servers.

    Verify it yourself
    1. Open the Conditional Tokens contract on Polygonscan (0x4D97DCd97eC945f40cF65F87097ACe5EA0476045), Read Contract tab.
    2. payoutDenominator(conditionId) returns 1 once the market has resolved.
    3. payoutNumerators(conditionId, index) returns 1 for the winning outcome and 0 for the losing one. Each pick's index is shown under its leg.
    Details
    • Florida International
      Middle Tennessee vs. Florida International
      1.29x
    • Avalanche
      Avalanche vs. Flyers
      1.48x
    • AS Roma
      AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava
      1.20x
    ResultMissed 2 legs
    Details

Monday, Oct 19

0 won · 4 lost
    • Mushuc Runa SC
      Mushuc Runa SC vs. Orense SC
      1.94x
    • Spurs
      Thunder vs. Spurs
      1.80x
    • SC Corinthians Paulista
      SC Corinthians Paulista vs. EC Vitória
      1.68x
    • Varbergs BoIS
      Varbergs BoIS vs. Helsingborgs IF
      1.90x
    ResultMissed 4 legs
    Details
    • Parma Calcio 1913
      Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC
      3.39x
    • CD Tenerife
      Celta Fortuna vs. CD Tenerife
      2.90x
    • Orense SC
      Mushuc Runa SC vs. Orense SC
      4.65x
    • Sharks
      Sharks vs. Maple Leafs
      2.30x
    • CA San Telmo
      CA San Telmo vs. CA Defensores de Belgrano
      3.57x
    ResultMissed 5 legs
    Details
    • Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 22?
      Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
      1.55x
    • Liverpool FC
      Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF
      1.55x
    • No · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
      Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
      1.31x
    ResultMissed 1 leg
    Details
    • No · Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?
      Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?
      1.83x
    • Chiefs
      Chargers vs. Chiefs
      1.27x
    • No · Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
      Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
      1.34x
    • No · Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 34% to 36%?
      Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin?
      1.40x
    ResultMissed 3 legs
    Details

Past results do not predict future ones. Parlays are for information only, not financial advice, and prediction markets involve real risk.